The current betting line has shifted slightly: Houston is favored by about 1.5 points at home, with the over/under floating around 39.5—some books opened Denver as slight favorites, but momentum has pushed the Texans into the edge. (vegasinsider.com) Sharp money appears to be trending with Houston, especially after their convincing performance versus the 49ers; casual public money is mixed based on Denver’s streak but being cautious given Denver’s defensive injury. The Under is appealing here—both teams are trending toward lower-scoring affairs, with strong defenses, and Denver’s offense only occasionally overpowering without Surtain in coverage. (si.com) Watch line movement closely for any last-minute injury updates (Schultz, Kirk for Houston; secondaries for Denver). If Houston wins the turnover battle and stays disciplined, getting -1.5 to −2 could be good value. Conversely, Denver is best bet if Surtain’s absence exposes the cornerback seams and brackets aren’t communicated well.